South Asia Faces Below-Average Monsoon Rainfall in 2026

May 1, 2026

59 min

May 1, 2026 01:30

South Asia expected to receive below-average monsoon rainfall

## Forecast for 2026 Monsoon Season

Meteorologists predict that South Asia will experience below-average rainfall during the June to September 2026 monsoon season. This forecast, primarily affecting central regions, is crucial for preparing millions of residents in the area.

## Regional Rainfall Variations

While most of South Asia will see reduced rainfall, some north-western, north-eastern, and southern areas might receive normal to above-normal precipitation. This information comes from the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum.

## Temperature and Climate Influences

Temperatures are expected to rise above normal levels, both during the day and at night. The development of El Niño conditions and a shift in the Indian Ocean Dipole are significant factors influencing this year's monsoon.

## Impact on Agriculture and Public Health

The monsoon season is vital for agriculture, providing up to 90% of annual rainfall in many regions. Reduced rainfall could threaten food security, while increased temperatures necessitate public health strategies to manage heat-related risks.

## Collaborative Forecasting Efforts

The forecast was developed by a consortium of meteorological services from nine South Asian countries, including India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. Their analysis is based on global climate patterns and aims to support planning in climate-sensitive sectors.

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